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Match analytics

Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel Diallo · Match odds & ELO prediction

Acapulco • Hard • Feb 24, 2025 • 2:20 AM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Gabriel Diallo

Key insights

Player performance profile

Mattia Bellucci

HARDSmall sample

33% · 12 on hard

Games won (last 10)

44%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,822 points across 49 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.341% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-3.027% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.050% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%49% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Gabriel Diallo

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

44%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,824 points across 69 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.689% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.223% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.942% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
56%65% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Mattia Bellucci and Gabriel Diallo are set to meet at the Acapulco on February 24, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Bellucci enters with a 16–19 record on hard courts in 2025, while Diallo has posted a 18–18 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Bellucci leads 3–2 over Diallo.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Bellucci and Diallo alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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