Matteo Martineau vs Jurij Rodionov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Saint Brieuc • Hard • Feb 26, 2026 • 11:50 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Matteo Martineau
Key insights
Player performance profile
Matteo Martineau
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~652 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~652 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jurij Rodionov
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,098 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,098 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 31% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.5 | 99% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Matteo Martineau and Jurij Rodionov are set to meet at the Saint Brieuc on February 26, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Martineau enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Rodionov has posted a 4–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rodionov entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rodionov leads 4–1 over Martineau.