Matteo Berrettini vs Hubert Hurkacz · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cagliari • Clay • May 1, 2026 • 4:45 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Hubert Hurkacz
Key insights
Player performance profile
Matteo Berrettini
60% · 3–2 on hard
50% · 7–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,666 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,666 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.5 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.2 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hubert Hurkacz
38% · 5–8 on hard
70% · 7–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,532 points across 35 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,532 points across 35 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.0 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.6 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 41% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Matteo Berrettini and Hubert Hurkacz are set to meet at the Cagliari on May 1, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Berrettini enters with a 7–7 record on clay courts in 2026, while Hurkacz has posted a 7–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Hurkacz, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Berrettini leads 2–1 over Hurkacz.