Matteo Berrettini vs Alexander Zverev · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 6, 2026 • 7:15 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alexander Zverev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Matteo Berrettini
54% · 15–13 on hard
57% · 4–3 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,666 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,666 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.5 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.2 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,977 points across 93 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,977 points across 93 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 85% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Matteo Berrettini and Alexander Zverev are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 6, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Berrettini enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Zverev has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zverev entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.