Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cagliari • Clay • May 2, 2026 • 11:30 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Matteo Arnaldi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Matteo Arnaldi
25% · 1–3 on hard
55% · 6–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,434 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,434 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Gianluca Cadenasso
58% · 14–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Matteo Arnaldi and Gianluca Cadenasso are set to meet at the Cagliari on May 2, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Arnaldi enters with a 6–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Cadenasso has posted a 14–10 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Arnaldi leads 1–0 over Cadenasso, including a win in their most recent meeting.