Matilde Jorge vs Lucia Bronzetti · Match odds & ELO prediction
Oeiras 4 (Portugal) - Qualification • Clay • Apr 21, 2026 • 12:05 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Lucia Bronzetti
Key insights
Player performance profile
Matilde Jorge
46% · 6–7 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~236 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~236 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lucia Bronzetti
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,146 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,146 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Matilde Jorge and Lucia Bronzetti are set to meet at the Oeiras 4 (Portugal) - Qualification on April 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Jorge enters with a 1–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Bronzetti has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Bronzetti, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Bronzetti leads 1–0 over Jorge, including a win in their most recent meeting.