BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Mathys Erhard vs Ivan Marrero Curbelo · Match odds & ELO prediction

Tenerife 2 • Hard • Feb 9, 2025 • 3:55 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Mathys Erhard

Key insights

Player performance profile

Mathys Erhard

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~103 points across 1 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.954% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.098% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.553% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

HARDSmall sample

25% · 13 on hard

CLAY

57% · 86 on clay

Games won (last 10)

59%

10 matches tracked

Match Overview

Mathys Erhard and Ivan Marrero Curbelo are set to meet at the Tenerife 2 on February 9, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Erhard enters with a 14–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Curbelo has posted a 32–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Curbelo, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Erhard leads 2–0 over Curbelo, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Erhard and Curbelo have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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