Mathys Erhard vs Christoph Negritu · Match odds & ELO prediction
Milan • Clay • Jun 24, 2025 • 1:15 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Christoph Negritu
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mathys Erhard
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~103 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~103 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Christoph Negritu
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Mathys Erhard and Christoph Negritu are set to meet at the Milan on June 24, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Erhard enters with a 22–20 record on clay courts in 2025, while Negritu has posted a 18–23 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Erhard, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Erhard leads 2–1 over Negritu, including a win in their most recent meeting.