Mathys Domenc vs Corentin Denolly · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25+H Bastia-Lucciana • Clay • Jul 9, 2025 • 9:25 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Mathys Domenc
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mathys Domenc
0% · 0–1 on hard
20% · 1–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
8 matches tracked
Corentin Denolly
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~705 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~705 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.2 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mathys Domenc and Corentin Denolly are set to meet at the M25+H Bastia-Lucciana on July 9, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Domenc enters with a 1–4 record on clay courts in 2025, while Denolly has posted a 25–21 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Domenc entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Domenc leads 1–0 over Denolly, including a win in their most recent meeting.