Mateus Alves vs Gonzalo Bueno · Match odds & ELO prediction
Itajai 2 • Clay • Jan 20, 2026 • 2:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Gonzalo Bueno
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mateus Alves
20% · 1–4 on hard
53% · 27–24 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Gonzalo Bueno
57% · 42–32 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~369 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~369 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.9 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mateus Alves and Gonzalo Bueno are set to meet at the Itajai 2 on January 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Alves enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Bueno has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bueno entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bueno leads 2–1 over Alves, including a win in their most recent meeting.