Matej Dodig vs Marko Topo · Match odds & ELO prediction
Helsinki • Hard • Nov 3, 2025 • 1:45 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Matej Dodig
Key insights
Player performance profile
Matej Dodig
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~266 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~266 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marko Topo
65% · 15–8 on hard
67% · 30–15 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~715 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~715 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.7 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Matej Dodig and Marko Topo are set to meet at the Helsinki on November 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Dodig enters with a 12–8 record on hard courts in 2025, while Topo has posted a 15–8 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Topo, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Dodig leads 2–0 over Topo, including a win in their most recent meeting.