Matej Dodig vs Federico Arnaboldi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monza • Clay • Apr 7, 2025 • 2:05 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Federico Arnaboldi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Matej Dodig
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~266 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~266 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Federico Arnaboldi
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~859 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~859 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 38% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.7 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Matej Dodig and Federico Arnaboldi are set to meet at the Monza on April 7, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Dodig enters with a 24–22 record on clay courts in 2025, while Arnaboldi has posted a 11–19 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Dodig entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.


