Mary Stoiana vs Matilde Jorge · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 20, 2026 • 11:40 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Mary Stoiana
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mary Stoiana
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~540 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~540 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.0 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matilde Jorge
46% · 6–7 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~236 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~236 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mary Stoiana and Matilde Jorge are set to meet at the French Open on May 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Stoiana enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Jorge has posted a 1–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Stoiana, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Stoiana leads 1–0 over Jorge, including a win in their most recent meeting.