Mary Stoiana vs Louisa Chirico · Match odds & ELO prediction
W100 Tyler, TX • Hard • Oct 23, 2025 • 5:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Mary Stoiana
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mary Stoiana
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~377 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~377 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Louisa Chirico
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,534 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,534 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.5 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 24% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mary Stoiana and Louisa Chirico are set to meet at the W100 Tyler, TX on October 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Stoiana enters with a 28–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Chirico has posted a 11–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Stoiana, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Stoiana leads 3–0 over Chirico, including a win in their most recent meeting.