BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Mary Stoiana vs Louisa Chirico · Match odds & ELO prediction

W100 Tyler, TX • Hard • Oct 23, 2025 • 5:35 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Mary Stoiana

Key insights

Player performance profile

Mary Stoiana

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~0 points across 0 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.045% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.061% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
0.050% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Louisa Chirico

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,534 points across 16 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.65% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.618% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-5.513% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
40%26% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Mary Stoiana and Louisa Chirico are set to meet at the W100 Tyler, TX on October 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Stoiana enters with a 28–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Chirico has posted a 11–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Stoiana, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Stoiana leads 3–0 over Chirico, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Stoiana and Chirico alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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