Mary Stoiana vs Darja Vidmanova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Austin • Hard • Nov 3, 2025 • 7:00 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Mary Stoiana
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mary Stoiana
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~894 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~894 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 26% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 44% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Darja Vidmanova
63% · 12–7 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,614 points across 12 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,614 points across 12 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 37% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.0 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mary Stoiana and Darja Vidmanova are set to meet at the Austin on November 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Stoiana enters with a 28–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Vidmanova has posted a 26–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Stoiana entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Stoiana leads 3–1 over Vidmanova, including a win in their most recent meeting.