Martina Colmegna vs Federica Urgesi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rende • Clay • Sep 28, 2025 • 8:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Federica Urgesi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Martina Colmegna
80% · 4–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Federica Urgesi
56% · 9–7 on hard
67% · 2–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~202 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~202 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 28% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.1 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Martina Colmegna and Federica Urgesi are set to meet at the Rende on September 28, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Colmegna enters with a 21–15 record on clay courts in 2025, while Urgesi has posted a 17–20 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Urgesi leads 1–0 over Colmegna, including a win in their most recent meeting.