Marta Kostyuk vs Caty McNally · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 27, 2026 • 5:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Marta Kostyuk
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marta Kostyuk
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
66%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,157 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,157 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.1 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Caty McNally
50% · 8–8 on hard
57% · 4–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,794 points across 41 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,794 points across 41 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 39% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marta Kostyuk and Caty McNally are set to meet at the Madrid on April 27, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kostyuk enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while McNally has posted a 4–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kostyuk entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kostyuk leads 2–0 over McNally, including a win in their most recent meeting.