Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 30, 2026 • 8:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Marta Kostyuk
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marta Kostyuk
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
66%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,157 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,157 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.1 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Anastasia Potapova
47% · 7–8 on hard
79% · 11–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,951 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,951 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 42% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marta Kostyuk and Anastasia Potapova are set to meet at the Madrid on April 30, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kostyuk enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Potapova has posted a 11–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kostyuk entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kostyuk leads 3–2 over Potapova, including a win in their most recent meeting.