Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 29, 2025 • 7:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Marta Kostyuk
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marta Kostyuk
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,484 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,484 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.9 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 47% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Anastasia Potapova
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,689 points across 45 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,689 points across 45 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 50% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 43% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marta Kostyuk and Anastasia Potapova are set to meet at the Madrid on April 29, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Kostyuk enters with a 6–3 record on clay courts in 2025, while Potapova has posted a 6–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Potapova entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.