Marko Topo vs Andrea Guerrieri · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Trento • Hard • Feb 21, 2026 • 12:55 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Andrea Guerrieri
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marko Topo
65% · 15–8 on hard
67% · 30–15 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,086 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,086 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +11.0 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andrea Guerrieri
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Marko Topo and Andrea Guerrieri are set to meet at the M25 Trento on February 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Topo enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Guerrieri has posted a 3–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Topo entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Guerrieri leads 2–0 over Topo, including a win in their most recent meeting.