Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruud · Match odds & ELO prediction
Stockholm • Hard • Oct 15, 2025 • 4:55 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Casper Ruud
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marin Cilic
57% · 8–6 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,140 points across 34 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,140 points across 34 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.0 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.2 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 25% | 5% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Casper Ruud
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,217 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,217 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 80% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.4 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 85% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marin Cilic and Casper Ruud are set to meet at the Stockholm on October 15, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Cilic enters with a 9–9 record on hard courts in 2025, while Ruud has posted a 23–11 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Ruud, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Ruud leads 4–0 over Cilic, including a win in their most recent meeting.