Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 7, 2025 • 8:55 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Mariano Navone
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mariano Navone
55% · 6–5 on hard
57% · 8–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,976 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,976 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 12% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Learner Tien
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,989 points across 84 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,989 points across 84 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.6 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mariano Navone and Learner Tien are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 7, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Navone enters with a 5–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Tien has posted a 32–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tien entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tien leads 2–1 over Navone, including a win in their most recent meeting.