Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Barcelona • Clay • Apr 14, 2026 • 4:00 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Andrey Rublev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mariano Navone
55% · 6–5 on hard
57% · 8–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,305 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,305 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.7 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andrey Rublev
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,935 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,935 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 56% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.3 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mariano Navone and Andrey Rublev are set to meet at the Barcelona on April 14, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Navone enters with a 8–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Rublev has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 1–0 over Navone, including a win in their most recent meeting.