Mariano Navone vs Alexander Zverev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 25, 2026 • 2:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alexander Zverev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mariano Navone
55% · 6–5 on hard
57% · 8–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,305 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,305 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.7 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~15,512 points across 98 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~15,512 points across 98 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.7 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 66% | 84% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mariano Navone and Alexander Zverev are set to meet at the Madrid on April 25, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Navone enters with a 8–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Zverev has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zverev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Zverev leads 1–0 over Navone, including a win in their most recent meeting.