Maria Timofeeva vs Martina Capurro Taborda · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Merida • Hard • Feb 21, 2026 • 6:50 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Maria Timofeeva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maria Timofeeva
45% · 5–6 on hard
67% · 8–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,881 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,881 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 75% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 86% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Martina Capurro Taborda
79% · 11–3 on hard
71% · 29–12 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~132 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~132 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 45% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maria Timofeeva and Martina Capurro Taborda are set to meet at the WTA Merida on February 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Timofeeva enters with a 5–6 record on hard courts in 2026, while Taborda has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Timofeeva, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Timofeeva leads 1–0 over Taborda, including a win in their most recent meeting.