Maria Timofeeva vs Francesca Jones · Match odds & ELO prediction
Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification • Clay • May 8, 2026 • 9:40 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Maria Timofeeva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maria Timofeeva
45% · 5–6 on hard
67% · 8–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,881 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,881 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 85% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Francesca Jones
38% · 3–5 on hard
56% · 5–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,552 points across 31 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,552 points across 31 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 64% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.8 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maria Timofeeva and Francesca Jones are set to meet at the Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification on May 8, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Timofeeva enters with a 8–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Jones has posted a 5–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Timofeeva, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Timofeeva leads 1–0 over Jones, including a win in their most recent meeting.