BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Maria Timofeeva vs Alina Charaeva · Match odds & ELO prediction

Linz • Hard • Apr 5, 2026 • 9:05 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Maria Timofeeva

Key insights

Player performance profile

Maria Timofeeva

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,881 points across 20 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.413% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.677% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+3.877% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
67%86% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Alina Charaeva

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,317 points across 16 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.242% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.011% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.687% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Maria Timofeeva and Alina Charaeva are set to meet at the Linz on April 5, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Timofeeva enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Charaeva has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Charaeva entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Timofeeva leads 2–0 over Charaeva, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Timofeeva and Charaeva alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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