Maria Timofeeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Brisbane • Hard • Jan 3, 2026 • 12:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maria Timofeeva
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,202 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,202 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.7 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,934 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,934 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.8 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 90% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maria Timofeeva and Aliaksandra Sasnovich are set to meet at the WTA Brisbane on January 3, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Timofeeva enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Sasnovich has posted a 4–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sasnovich entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sasnovich leads 2–0 over Timofeeva, including a win in their most recent meeting.