Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tokyo • Hard • Oct 18, 2025 • 6:25 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Maria Sakkari
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maria Sakkari
57% · 8–6 on hard
0% · 0–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,056 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,056 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 62% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Zeynep Sonmez
56% · 10–8 on hard
75% · 6–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,217 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,217 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 71% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maria Sakkari and Zeynep Sonmez are set to meet at the Tokyo on October 18, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sakkari enters with a 15–20 record on hard courts in 2025, while Sonmez has posted a 17–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sonmez entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sakkari leads 2–1 over Sonmez, including a win in their most recent meeting.