Maria Sakkari vs Emma Navarro · Match odds & ELO prediction
Washington • Hard • Jul 23, 2025 • 10:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Maria Sakkari
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maria Sakkari
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,267 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,267 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Emma Navarro
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,430 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,430 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 80% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maria Sakkari and Emma Navarro are set to meet at the Washington on July 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sakkari enters with a 15–20 record on hard courts in 2025, while Navarro has posted a 17–14 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Sakkari leads 3–1 over Navarro, including a win in their most recent meeting.