Maria Sakkari vs Elise Mertens · Match odds & ELO prediction
Hertogenbosch • Grass • Jun 12, 2025 • 11:15 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Elise Mertens
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maria Sakkari
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,753 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,753 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 38% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elise Mertens
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,757 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,757 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 53% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.4 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maria Sakkari and Elise Mertens are set to meet at the Hertogenbosch on June 12, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Sakkari enters with a 3–4 record on grass courts in 2025, while Mertens has posted a 8–2 mark on grass courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Mertens leads 3–2 over Sakkari, including a win in their most recent meeting.