Maria Sakkari vs Donna Vekic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monterrey • Hard • Aug 19, 2025 • 1:40 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Donna Vekic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maria Sakkari
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,753 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,753 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 38% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Donna Vekic
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,217 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,217 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 29% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.3 | 88% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maria Sakkari and Donna Vekic are set to meet at the Monterrey on August 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sakkari enters with a 15–20 record on hard courts in 2025, while Vekic has posted a 10–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Sakkari, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Vekic leads 3–2 over Sakkari, including a win in their most recent meeting.