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Match analytics

Maria Sakkari vs Donna Vekic · Match odds & ELO prediction

Monterrey • Hard • Aug 19, 2025 • 1:40 AM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Donna Vekic

Key insights

Player performance profile

Maria Sakkari

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,082 points across 58 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.342% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.826% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.338% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
54%57% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Donna Vekic

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,418 points across 40 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.129% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.814% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+6.288% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
71%88% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Maria Sakkari and Donna Vekic are set to meet at the Monterrey on August 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sakkari enters with a 15–20 record on hard courts in 2025, while Vekic has posted a 10–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Vekic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Vekic leads 3–2 over Sakkari, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Sakkari, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Vekic has gone 1–4 over the same span.
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