Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublik · Match odds & ELO prediction
Hong Kong • Hard • Jan 10, 2026 • 10:45 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alexander Bublik
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marcos Giron
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,336 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,336 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 37% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,690 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,690 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.0 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marcos Giron and Alexander Bublik are set to meet at the Hong Kong on January 10, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Giron enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bublik has posted a 4–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Giron entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Giron leads 3–2 over Bublik.