Marcos Giron vs Adrian Mannarino · Match odds & ELO prediction
Toronto • Hard • Jul 28, 2025 • 7:25 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Adrian Mannarino
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marcos Giron
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,336 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,336 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 36% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Adrian Mannarino
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,133 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,133 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 78% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.6 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 14% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marcos Giron and Adrian Mannarino are set to meet at the Toronto on July 28, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Giron enters with a 15–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Mannarino has posted a 16–22 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Giron entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Giron leads 3–1 over Mannarino.