BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · Match odds & ELO prediction

Barcelona • Clay • Apr 11, 2026 • 11:10 AM

Clay

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Marco Trungelliti

Key insights

Player performance profile

Marco Trungelliti

HARD

40% · 23 on hard

CLAY

71% · 156 on clay

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,455 points across 35 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.59% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.167% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.268% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
53%57% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

HARD

59% · 107 on hard

CLAY

55% · 65 on clay

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,132 points across 29 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.518% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.459% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-3.719% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
23%4% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Marco Trungelliti and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer are set to meet at the Barcelona on April 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Trungelliti enters with a 15–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Kjaer has posted a 6–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Trungelliti entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Trungelliti leads 1–0 over Kjaer, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Trungelliti and Kjaer alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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