Marco Cecchinato vs Thiago Monteiro · Match odds & ELO prediction
Modena • Clay • Jul 1, 2025 • 2:55 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Marco Cecchinato
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marco Cecchinato
53% · 39–34 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Thiago Monteiro
43% · 3–4 on hard
48% · 23–25 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,225 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,225 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 57% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marco Cecchinato and Thiago Monteiro are set to meet at the Modena on July 1, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Cecchinato enters with a 39–34 record on clay courts in 2025, while Monteiro has posted a 23–25 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Monteiro leads 3–1 over Cecchinato, including a win in their most recent meeting.