BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Marco Cecchinato vs Thiago Monteiro · Match odds & ELO prediction

Lisbon • Clay • Sep 23, 2025 • 1:10 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Thiago Monteiro

Key insights

Player performance profile

Marco Cecchinato

CLAY

53% · 3934 on clay

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~0 points across 0 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.036% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.084% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
0.048% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Thiago Monteiro

HARD

43% · 34 on hard

CLAY

48% · 2325 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

0% · 01 on grass

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,225 points across 24 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.157% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.913% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.339% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
57%68% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Marco Cecchinato and Thiago Monteiro are set to meet at the Lisbon on September 23, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Cecchinato enters with a 39–34 record on clay courts in 2025, while Monteiro has posted a 23–25 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Monteiro leads 3–1 over Cecchinato, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Cecchinato and Monteiro have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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