Marco Cecchinato vs Thiago Monteiro · Match odds & ELO prediction
Lisbon • Clay • Sep 23, 2025 • 1:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Thiago Monteiro
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marco Cecchinato
53% · 39–34 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Thiago Monteiro
43% · 3–4 on hard
48% · 23–25 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,637 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,637 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 66% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marco Cecchinato and Thiago Monteiro are set to meet at the Lisbon on September 23, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Cecchinato enters with a 39–34 record on clay courts in 2025, while Monteiro has posted a 23–25 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Cecchinato, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Monteiro leads 3–1 over Cecchinato, including a win in their most recent meeting.