Marco Cecchinato vs Max Houkes · Match odds & ELO prediction
Modena • Clay • Jul 3, 2025 • 2:00 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Marco Cecchinato
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marco Cecchinato
53% · 39–34 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~360 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~360 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 50% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.0 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Max Houkes
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~192 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~192 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 46% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.0 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marco Cecchinato and Max Houkes are set to meet at the Modena on July 3, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Cecchinato enters with a 39–34 record on clay courts in 2025, while Houkes has posted a 44–27 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Cecchinato leads 3–0 over Houkes, including a win in their most recent meeting.