Manuel Guinard vs Jakub Paul · Match odds & ELO prediction
Lille • Hard • Feb 2, 2025 • 2:30 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jakub Paul
Key insights
Player performance profile
Manuel Guinard
33% · 4–8 on hard
0% · 0–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,137 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,137 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.3 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jakub Paul
62% · 23–14 on hard
63% · 12–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Manuel Guinard and Jakub Paul are set to meet at the Lille on February 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Guinard enters with a 4–8 record on hard courts in 2025, while Paul has posted a 23–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paul entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Paul leads 2–0 over Guinard, including a win in their most recent meeting.