Manuel Cerundolo Juan vs Thiago Monteiro · Match odds & ELO prediction
Santiago • Clay • Feb 25, 2025 • 6:45 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Thiago Monteiro
Key insights
Player performance profile
Manuel Cerundolo Juan
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,818 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,818 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Thiago Monteiro
43% · 3–4 on hard
48% · 23–25 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,637 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,637 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 66% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Manuel Cerundolo Juan and Thiago Monteiro are set to meet at the Santiago on February 25, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Juan enters with a 39–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Monteiro has posted a 23–25 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Monteiro entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Monteiro leads 3–0 over Juan, including a win in their most recent meeting.