Manuel Cerundolo Juan vs Luciano Darderi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 25, 2026 • 11:15 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Luciano Darderi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Manuel Cerundolo Juan
50% · 2–2 on hard
57% · 12–9 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,949 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,949 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 42% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luciano Darderi
29% · 6–15 on hard
73% · 30–11 on clay
33% · 2–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,423 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,423 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 53% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.4 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 90% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Manuel Cerundolo Juan and Luciano Darderi are set to meet at the Madrid on April 25, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Juan enters with a 12–9 record on clay courts in 2026, while Darderi has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Darderi, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Darderi leads 4–3 over Juan, including a win in their most recent meeting.