Manuel Cerundolo Juan vs Alejandro Dellien Velasco Murkel · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monza • Clay • Apr 7, 2025 • 11:55 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Manuel Cerundolo Juan
Key insights
Player performance profile
Manuel Cerundolo Juan
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,818 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,818 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Dellien Velasco Murkel
0% · 0–1 on hard
52% · 38–35 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~409 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~409 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 44% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.2 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Manuel Cerundolo Juan and Alejandro Dellien Velasco Murkel are set to meet at the Monza on April 7, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Juan enters with a 39–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Murkel has posted a 38–35 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Murkel entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Juan leads 3–1 over Murkel, including a win in their most recent meeting.