Manuel Aguilar Juan Carlos vs Nicolas Arseneault · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Santo Domingo 4 • Hard • Jun 12, 2025 • 6:30 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Manuel Aguilar Juan Carlos
Key insights
Player performance profile
Manuel Aguilar Juan Carlos
56% · 19–15 on hard
46% · 6–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nicolas Arseneault
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~151 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~151 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Manuel Aguilar Juan Carlos and Nicolas Arseneault are set to meet at the M25 Santo Domingo 4 on June 12, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Carlos enters with a 19–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Arseneault has posted a 26–20 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Arseneault leads 2–1 over Carlos, including a win in their most recent meeting.