Mai Hontama vs Rebecca Marino · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 21, 2025 • 9:15 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Rebecca Marino
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mai Hontama
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,253 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,253 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.3 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 19% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Rebecca Marino
47% · 15–17 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
57% · 4–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,840 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,840 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 37% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 11% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mai Hontama and Rebecca Marino are set to meet at the US Open on August 21, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Hontama enters with a 18–26 record on hard courts in 2025, while Marino has posted a 15–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Marino, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Marino leads 3–1 over Hontama, including a win in their most recent meeting.