Mai Hontama vs Maria Timofeeva · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 13, 2026 • 5:00 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Mai Hontama
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mai Hontama
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
39%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,253 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,253 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.3 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 19% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Maria Timofeeva
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,202 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,202 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.7 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mai Hontama and Maria Timofeeva are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 13, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Hontama enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Timofeeva has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Hontama entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Hontama leads 2–0 over Timofeeva, including a win in their most recent meeting.