Mai Hontama vs Arianne Hartono · Match odds & ELO prediction
W100 Tokyo • Hard • Apr 24, 2025 • 4:35 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Arianne Hartono
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mai Hontama
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,253 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,253 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.3 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 19% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arianne Hartono
46% · 21–25 on hard
0% · 0–2 on clay
38% · 3–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,666 points across 12 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,666 points across 12 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.2 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mai Hontama and Arianne Hartono are set to meet at the W100 Tokyo on April 24, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Hontama enters with a 18–26 record on hard courts in 2025, while Hartono has posted a 21–25 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Hontama entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Hartono leads 3–1 over Hontama, including a win in their most recent meeting.