Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zhang · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Merida • Hard • Mar 1, 2026 • 12:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Magdalena Frech
Key insights
Player performance profile
Magdalena Frech
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,982 points across 46 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,982 points across 46 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 26% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.9 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 38% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Shuai Zhang
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,488 points across 42 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,488 points across 42 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 68% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 75% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Magdalena Frech and Shuai Zhang are set to meet at the WTA Merida on March 1, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Frech enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Zhang has posted a 3–2 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Frech, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Frech leads 2–1 over Zhang, including a win in their most recent meeting.