Magdalena Frech vs Peyton Stearns · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 28, 2025 • 5:15 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Magdalena Frech
Key insights
Player performance profile
Magdalena Frech
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,989 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,989 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Peyton Stearns
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,647 points across 38 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,647 points across 38 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 32% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Magdalena Frech and Peyton Stearns are set to meet at the US Open on August 28, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Frech enters with a 8–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Stearns has posted a 10–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Frech, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Stearns leads 2–1 over Frech.