Magdalena Frech vs Marie Bouzkova · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Merida • Hard • Feb 27, 2026 • 8:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Magdalena Frech
Key insights
Player performance profile
Magdalena Frech
53% · 10–9 on hard
0% · 0–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,756 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,756 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marie Bouzkova
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,429 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,429 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.7 | 75% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Magdalena Frech and Marie Bouzkova are set to meet at the WTA Merida on February 27, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Frech enters with a 10–9 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bouzkova has posted a 2–2 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.