Magdalena Frech vs Leylah Fernandez · Match odds & ELO prediction
Strasbourg • Clay • May 19, 2026 • 1:40 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Leylah Fernandez
Key insights
Player performance profile
Magdalena Frech
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,617 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,617 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 36% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Leylah Fernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,355 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,355 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Magdalena Frech and Leylah Fernandez are set to meet at the Strasbourg on May 19, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Frech enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Fernandez has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Fernandez leads 1–0 over Frech, including a win in their most recent meeting.